This is wicked intriguing. I don’t care what the truth is, because everybody is working overtime. I haven’t been on the water without a GPS for many moons. I expect a certain base speed for the warmup stage, about 30 minutes for about two miles. If you go out at the same time three days in a row with the same wind speed/direction, each day will be different conditions. Ignore the fact that consecutive days of exertion deplete energy stores unless you reload within the glycogen window. Just considering tide. Tide flow ratchets up about 45 minutes each day. There’s usually two highs and two lows. But each day, they go from the 1st being a high-high. The next high phase is a low-high. Next day, the 1st high is a medium-high as will the 2nd high be a medium-high. Day 3 will start with a low’high, paired with a high-high. You can substitute term like spring and neap tide. I’m not sure if its right, but the basic principle is right.
To make a long story longer. Salt and fresh water have different densities. I don’t want to go there other than to say one flows on top of the other. If the Piermont region is inundated with rain, it flows to the ocean’s and increasing volume of fresh water fights to find a level in competition with incoming salt water. One layer increases in depth and the velocity of each level changes as friction causes swells or chop. Those forces churn up nutrients through the layers. Salinity isn’t uniformly distributed either. The earth’s rotation flings heavier water to one side of the bay.
If wind comes from one direction and dies off then builds the same direction then dies, or if it veers or goes variable, the impact is finite. On the other hand if its moderate but constant over the course of several days, a 10 mph wind can build a .6 mph current in half a day. A longer run or stronger wind can build monsters. Then a .6 mph outflow butts heads, or joins, or cross winds come into the picture, or a river empties into the flow, everything gets comical.
Another twist for a shore, basin or river is how wind loads it. A south wind loads the Chesapeake Bay, a north wind empties it. A noreaster pushes water in, low/high bsrametric pressure, astrological anomalies with 3 ft over normal which might be 2 ft at a high high in the spring or 1.2 ft in the fall.
If it’s the same person, same boat. Same location. My guess is it could influence an increase in speed at a different level or cause more mixing due to friction. I use this as an example. If you go on a lake, you might think its easier, until you ask a local what’s it like to paddle lake michigan because there aren’t any currents - ha ha ha ha! Or San Franciso Bay must be like the Chesapeake Bay. I don’t remember where the trip happened. If it was in the ocean, I’m not sure what the current does there. If it was Florida, let me know. I want to paddle there. By the way seaweed here is a pain when the tide drops. As the boat goes into low water or seaweed, it seems to create some added resistance
Hope nobody wanted to ask what’s a good first boat. I don’t know. Not sure if that helps. The principal is sound, even if my numbers are iffy. Good luck with that. If somebody sees errors. Please let me know.