Absolutely agree. The disparity is essentislly in how I explained.
Wind, tide, current and waves impact speed positively and negatively. I differentiate between tide and current because I view current as a constant, while tides reverse. However, that warrants a separate discussion - briefly: rivers have a constant outflow that’s influenced by precipiration, tides within the tidal zone, and dams that moderate river flow. Winds also impact speed; the higher the wind speed the greater the impact. Wind driven waves will generate a current the longer it blows in the same direction (wind blowing at 10 mph overnight might generate a current of .6 mph, then that current manifests differently depending on how it interacts with standing current. Therefore, wind driven waves that are kicked up by a localized storm is very different than waves generated by a distant hurricane. My point is that an 18 inch wave can have more influence on your paddling experience depending on duration, direction, changing in tidal flow, bottom contours and depth, channel restrictions, lee vs. windward exposure, on. Otherwise, a wave is a wave, just don’t take it for granted.
So why does it matter. If your goal is to piddle-paddle for 1/2 hour then turn around, conditions could easily add an hour or more to the return trip. The following explanation describes how I strategize for trip planning. If your goal is to just go out and have fun, don’t waste your time reading past this point, and please, PLEASE don’t post a comment that, “Speed isn’t everything, or I just want to have fun” - this just simply won’t benefit you. You can post that, but all I can say is good idea, good luck, and go do that!
@szihn explained how he often encounters fast moving weather systems that sweep over high cliffs surrounding the lake that he paddles. Such storms may give him less than 20 to 30 minutes to reach a safe shore before being overwhelmed. During early conversations with him, I considered meeting him to paddle. I now realize that neither my boat nor my skill level is suited for that environment. The main primary factor in my paddling environment is current; Steve doesn’t typically face current that impedes his ability. The greater threat for him is the wind.
While current typically impacts speed one-to-one (current moving at .5 mph will reduce your speed by .5 mph, based on constant energy output, which can be monitor by remaining in an aerobic state or by keeping your heart rate constant. On the other hand, wind only slow your progress by a percentage of the felt wind speed. However, wind over a certain velocity will impact performance more significantly and exponentially. I’m consistently able to compensate and handle wind, tidal flow, current and waves from any direction between 10 - 15 mph, with gusts to 20 mph, but everything changes when the gusts increase to just 25 mph - the impact is as high as .3 to .5 mph (that’s my assesment, and I’m sticking to it, like itbor lump it). The difference becomes obvious because that will cause the bow of my 145 Tsunsmi to fly on the peak of the biggest waves and plunge into the trough of the next wave. In the 145 Tsumami, I have a choice of backing off on speed, or powering through and allow the boat to plunge. The “consequence” is spray that splashes over my head and a sheet of water that washes over the front deck and into the cockpit on my lap (I don’t use a spray skirt).
My options, for example, include sustaining an average speed of 4.1 mph and risk going aneorobic, or dropping to 3.2 mph, taking a speed hit and accept a lower overall average speed. The strategy involves a decision regarding energy management. Without consulting a GPS, it seems reasonable to believe it’s easier to simply take advantage of the wind and current when it’s at your back - that is another topic, but I personally find that weather cocking becomes an issue that saps more energy than fighting a headwind. My primary 145 Tsunami has no rudder. The other one has a rudder, but I typically have no need for it, because winds are typically in a manageable state of 10 - 15 mph with 20 mph gusts or less, if I’m lucky. When I anticipate going out in 25 mph gusts, I prefer to take my 175 Tsunami, but I often err on thecsidebofvthe 145. Because the 175 is hard to transport. The main benefit is that it doesn’t climb and plunge, and the water washing over the deck will part before washing into the cockpit and onto my lap. The rudder allows me to correct weather cocking, and I can take advantage of the wind assist without noticing a rudder drag penalty. Rudder drag is still there, but the control offered by the rudder allows me to better manage directional control - power output goes into speed rather than fighting for control of the boat. Consequently, I can use more energy to power into the waves, and accept the .5 mph rudder drag penalty, while gaining .5 mph from better control.
The take away should be that boat length, width, rudders, and skegs, involve trick mathatical calculations about hull speed, wetted surfaces, drag coefficients, and load water line. The effects of wind, tide, current and waves should not be viewed as a plus or minus or as a constant. It can be if you think like a mule. Rudders and skegs are designed to keep your boat tracking straight. The drag can be negated if you know how and when to use them.
It’s short sighted to assume paddling into conditions will be harder than paddling with the conditions acting as an assist. If you don’t use a GPS, all of this will remain a mystery. By understanding your boat and equipment, knowing the capabilities, monitoring you energy output, knowing how long you can sustain aerobic output and the duration you can dwell in an aneorobic state longer, as you decide where to make up speed.
I have Tsunami models including the 120 SP, 125, as well as multiple 140s with rudder, several 145s with and without a rudder, and the 175 with rudder. I can tell you how the one 125, 145 and 175 perform, and how the 120 SP and 140 handle in varied conditions when paddled by someone in the proper weight class.
Anyone can argue that wind, tide, waves and current have an impact on peak speed and moving average speed - I don’t disagree. It absolutely does. However, in all the years and miles that I’ve paddled, whether 8.5 miles, 21.5 miles, or 38.75 mile, I’ve rarely, or more previsely have actually never, had the advantage of a two-way assist. Anyone who has experienced that in paddling is living a blessed existence. At best, the timing will split conditions by half, but most of my long trips are 80% cross current. The worst condition is a 4 to 8 mph wind at your back on the return trip. That is living in the pits of hell, because a 4.5 to 4.8 mph speed neutralizes the effect of felt wind. I prefer a zero wind day, because forward motion creates airflow. Otherwise, the best option is a course across the prevailing wind. Especially so, when water is near 82°, air temp is in the high 90s, humidity is 90 to 100%. You stew in your basting sauce and pray for a headwind.
No, for me, conditions have nothing to do with average speed. For me, cruising speed is the final average moving speed that registers when I stop. My posted speed includes the effect of wind, tide, current, and waves. Since a GPS typically reads movement over a certain drift speed, any rest breaks continue to factor into moving average, unless the boat is beached and stabilized to prevent movement. Consequently, a 40 second water break registersxas paddling at or near 1 mph for that period. I mention that only because that means my actual average could skewed upward by .1 mph, but the amount is too petty to factor into the record. If I post a wishbone trip from Dundee to Hammerman and back, its nearly as perfectly divided between the advantages and disadvantsges of existing conditions. If you live in that area, let me know and I give you a tour so you can experience what I’m saying first hand.
One early response to my description of the Upper Bay expressed confusion about me saying the bay is a harsh environment, then in subsequent posts saying that it’s not. It can be both, but it doesn’t present the same challenge that Steve faces in Wyoming or the conditions faced in the Lower Chesapeake Bay or even greater extremes found on the ocean, San Franscico Bay or the Great Lakes. Many who boat on the Chesapeake Bay say it’s unpredictable; I disagree, because that is only true if you don’t understand it. Weather systems typically give at least 20 to 30 minutes warning, which means things can happen fast. The problem arises when you can’t land on restricted military property or if you miss critical atmospheric cues.
On one trip, I stopped to assess conditions after I made a turn. Rather than setting off to cross the bay after making a turn, I stopped to assess conditions, despite no forecasts of storms. I noticed three indicators that changed my mind. The first was a whisp in the peak of an otherwise stable cummulus cloud to the north. Next was an alert on the VHF weather station notifying of a storm with hail located over 60 miles to the north (the black lines bracket the whisp which was so short-lived that it nearly disappeared before I gotbto my phone 39 sevonds later; the arrow shows the storm clouds 60 miles away). Checking the weather radar on my stowed smart phone showed the storm with hail in York, as well as the direction of travel going toward the northeast of my location, with minor storms popping along the Appalachian moutain chain to the west. Although there was nothing of immediate concern, additional change that I typically don’t follow, caused me to pause - the barometer was falling, and I could feel on my face that the wind had noticably veered over a period of only one hour. I decided to return to the launch, a 35 minute trip rather than commit to a cross bay round trip of at least 4 hours to 4 hours and 30 minutes from that present location. As I landed, the sky was darkening. Loading the boat was uneventful, but on the 20 minute drive home, the storm hit as a massive fast mover. My brother happened to be fishing in a power boat a few miles to the north of where I diverted and return to the launch point. The wind, waves and driving rain were so bad, they had to stop. If I had ignored the warning signs.(notably the barometer and wind direction, my back would have been to the advancing storm. I would have been caught mid way, with not enough time to reach the far shore an no way to return.
Sorry for the treatise (thanks Craig), but my point is that an understanding of energy management,
the impact conditions have on boat performance, situational awareness, proper equipment, and an ability to read weather indicators is far more important than devices. The devices are valuable as training aids, but when the slop hits the fan, you only have your knowledge, training, stamina and existing skill to save your skin. The bottom line is you don’t have to agree with me, but I suggest you figure it out, or stay within 30 minutes of safe harbor. Then cruising speed, average speed, and accuracy of the GPS is irrelevant.